Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 254.926074 287.672028 324.040160 367.609464 418.626457 476.761850 548.434221
2025-04-27 212.346860 256.872058 310.813274 381.745293 473.718028 590.557330 752.854140
2025-05-04 184.808631 233.487095 295.801509 382.882262 503.812802 669.502990 920.381573
2025-05-11 161.381297 210.690019 276.521618 372.977087 514.440505 720.582439 1056.137952
2025-05-18 144.109034 193.333891 261.406388 365.242192 524.898221 770.570005 1197.581545
2025-05-25 135.659002 186.861988 260.142898 376.470446 564.050192 869.286208 1437.739347
2025-06-01 125.430402 176.556845 251.835187 375.394843 582.871993 937.250915 1638.920980
2025-06-08 115.286830 165.288284 240.714856 368.140098 589.821280 985.119826 1812.550556
2025-06-15 108.281218 158.062080 234.967038 368.670117 609.716328 1058.886720 2055.221970
2025-06-22 100.327586 148.643952 224.777565 360.359408 612.293082 1099.855661 2237.763685
2025-06-29 94.670019 142.379232 219.077719 359.062306 627.425954 1167.772464 2499.167707
2025-07-06 87.208096 132.629016 206.751338 344.562420 615.111271 1176.736334 2620.657872
2025-07-13 85.097182 131.634958 209.338831 357.990430 660.819973 1320.474973 3136.566823
2025-07-20 83.354762 131.120390 212.708347 373.322992 713.059259 1490.880659 3793.390587
2025-07-27 79.576086 126.809214 208.924243 374.243400 734.509608 1593.061634 4291.119445
2025-08-03 74.648947 120.150629 200.342002 364.632106 731.137516 1632.848417 4607.270127
2025-08-10 70.438400 114.482540 193.148170 357.107177 731.473707 1682.463762 4978.592337
2025-08-17 68.947321 113.568118 194.744521 368.027304 776.795518 1863.488957 5910.683857
2025-08-24 66.089355 109.973675 190.940345 366.981305 792.910843 1966.536825 6598.275868
2025-08-31 62.749995 105.287698 184.678347 359.925919 792.949821 2022.574643 7122.055413
2025-09-07 60.504531 102.503186 181.944895 360.441403 812.579019 2143.428547 8006.025954
2025-09-14 57.494153 98.104480 175.692138 352.358043 808.339633 2187.868045 8557.433342
2025-09-21 55.393244 95.323194 172.518920 351.096318 822.493907 2296.853208 9510.457718